The point spread’s sole purpose is to even out the bets so that the amount bet on the underdog equals the amount bet on the favorite. 안전놀이터 The book makes money on spirit or juice. So if the amount bet on the underdog equals the amount bet on the underdog, the books are guaranteed a 10% profit on half the bets made, no matter which team is covered.
The best line makers are those who feel what the betting public believes. The betting lines they set reflect the betting public’s perception of the strength of the two teams. It doesn’t necessarily reflect the true relative strength of the two teams. And the public’s perception of sportsbook betting is often wrong.
Once you get the hang of the concept, everything else starts to fit. You will have an edge over most bettors.
Be objective. Listen to your head not your heart. Don’t bet against the Cowboys just because you want to see them lose. And, don’t bet on a team just because you like the team. And don’t bet on your favorite team if you are an avid fan. It’s almost impossible to be objective. Fans tend to be too optimistic about their favorite team or too pessimistic if things aren’t going well.
Consistent. Bet the same amount on each game. Some players bet $200 on games they think are locked and $100 on games they are not so sure about. Those who are not so sure about bets that result in losses. If you are unsure about the game, don’t bet.
Should you bet on the home team? Generally not. However, if you can be objective, you have an edge. You probably know more about the home team than you do in other parts of the country because local media give the home team extensive coverage, coverage that is not shared with other countries.
Look for Trends. If you see a trend, consider it in your decision. Some teams have other team numbers. In the last four years the 49ers have played the Rams 7 out of 8 times and the one time they didn’t, Young was injured and they had to play Druckmiller, a rookie. In the last five years, Green Bay has lost 4 of the 5 games played in Detroit.
Trends are no guarantee. The trend may not last and you lose your bet. But, remember the goal is to increase your chances of winning. Based on past form, if you bet on the 49ers to protect the Rams you are more likely to win the bet than you lose.
Place your bets at the end of the week. By waiting until the end of the week, you will know about any injuries to key players that may affect how you bet. Occasionally, players get injured or exacerbate injuries in training. Or what looked like a minor injury on Tuesday could turn into one that takes the player out of the game. Also, weather conditions can affect your bet. Bad weather often brings scores down.
Limit the Number of Games You Bet. More is not better. The optimal number seems to be 3 to 6 games. Again and the winning percentage tends to decrease because the law of averages comes into play. (The more games you play, the more likely you are to end up 50% winners and 50% losers. And those are losing seasons, because of the juice.) Also, it’s easier to concentrate on a limited number of games.
Losing Streaks Occur. No matter what, you can count on losing streaks. It’s happened to handicappers, professional gamblers, casual bettors, and even books. Get ready to drive it. If you’re using a Pro Predictor or a handicapping service, you’ll need to stick with it throughout the season to come out a winner. Leaving the first sign of a losing streak will guarantee you the loser for the season. Let’s say you go out only to make the handicapper go 5 for 5 the next week. Those are 5 wins you will never have and will affect your overall winning percentage.
Never Bet Against the Streak. This is the key to increasing your wins and reducing your losses. Think of this as a betting spell. Say it over and over until it becomes firmly ingrained in your mind. Never bet against the streak. And, if you are going to bet on the line, the line bet will continue. And it doesn’t matter whether the streak is a winning streak or a losing streak. Ironically, logic will tell you that the odds of the streak continuing double every additional week and you should bet against it. But there is a hidden trap.
Consider the following scenario: In week 10, you notice that Green Bay has been closed for 4 weeks in a row. Should you bet that the streak will end? Remember, every week the odds against a streak keep on multiplying.
Betting Against the Streak: You bet $100 against Green Bay covering in week 11. Sure enough, they failed to cover. You’re $100 up front. But what happens if they do a cover and the streak continues. You’re $110 in